Provenance

This standalone page was migrated from the February 2026 compendium corpus.

The following 20 terms recur most frequently across the analysis. Full definitions are in Part 8 (Glossary).

TermShort Definition
Five FactorsCountry-level survival screen: food, energy, technology, demographics, security
Secure and ControlThe policy imperative to guarantee access to critical inputs, replacing lowest-cost sourcing
DeglobalizationStructural breakdown of the post-1945 integrated trade system; a multi-year process, not an event
Critical Manufacturing SovereigntyDomestic control over strategic industrial capacity — the economic expression of national security
REMMRare Earth Elements, Minerals, and Magnets — treated as a standalone chokepoint category
ChokepointA narrow, hard-to-substitute control point in a supply chain, route, or process
Process-Level MonopolyA single-supplier bottleneck within an industrial stack (e.g., specialty semiconductor material)
UCIUnderwater Critical Infrastructure — subsea cables, pipelines, and sensor networks
Malacca DilemmaChina’s strategic vulnerability from heavy maritime dependence on the Malacca Strait
Crisis Management InvestingState spending into strategic sectors under high-debt conditions — necessity, not discretionary stimulus
Clarity Over CertaintyDecision rule: prefer identifiable strategic direction over false precision in unstable systems
Old World vs. New WorldPrice-first allocation (old) vs. sovereignty-risk-first allocation (new)
Trade vs. Investment Horizon RuleMonths = trade; 5-20 years = investment theme
Counter-InvestingPortfolio approach: core market exposure + dedicated sleeve for sovereignty bottleneck themes
Capital RepatriationPolicy-driven return of overseas capital to home jurisdictions for strategic deployment
Pension Fund MandatesRules directing pension capital into domestic strategic sectors
Yen Carry TradeLeveraged strategy borrowing low-cost yen; treated as systemic vulnerability at scale
JGBsJapanese Government Bonds — long-dated maturities monitored as global plumbing stress indicators
Crowding OutSovereign debt issuance raising borrowing costs for corporates, forcing state backstops
Sphere of InfluenceMajor powers consolidating resource and security control in their own geopolitical zones