Russia And Eurasia

• [UNVERIFIED] Russia is losing control of former Soviet republics in the Caucasus and may be on the verge of losing a third, consistent with a structural fragmentation of the Russian Empire.

  Are the Russians going to lose control of the Russian countries that are under their control like Kazakhstan and Armenia and so forth? And I would say they lost two and they’re in the verge of losing another one. To me, this is very very big news. This falls under our narrative that the Russian Empire could fall.

• [UNVERIFIED] Russia will pursue southward expansion toward North Africa, leveraging existing gas reserves and pipeline infrastructure through Mediterranean rim countries.

  I think that they’ll start moving south and come together with North Africa. Okay. not all of Africa just the northern parts especially because they have all that gas there

• [UNVERIFIED] The Khashgar-to-Gwadar railroad, part of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, is scheduled for completion by 2030 and would provide China with an alternative overland route for energy imports, bypassing the Malacca Straits.

  this railroad is going to be done by 2030

• [UNVERIFIED] Russia, Ukraine, and European states will eventually form an integrated economic and security bloc (described as ‘Pan Eurasia’ or ‘Pan European raia’) to collectively address the five strategic factors. This integration is presented as economically inevitable given complementary resource endowments.

  I believe that the Russians and the Ukrainians and the Europeans will come together. Name your country. Pan Eurasia, pan European raia, I don’t care. Um but they will be together because together they can solve for the five factors.

• [UNVERIFIED] The presenter argues that Russia’s ability to respond to states pulling out of its orbit is materially constrained by the ongoing Ukrainian conflict. Azerbaijan and Armenia have already withdrawn from Russia’s sphere of influence, leaving Georgia as the remaining exposed state.

  Does the Ukrainian war limit Russians ability to respond to these other states pulling out of their orbit? That’s it. And to me, one of the key ones is Azerbaijan and they’ve pulled out. Armenia has pulled out and that leaves Georgia, which is under the gun right now.

What Is Predicted

• [UNVERIFIED] The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) railroad connecting Kashgar to Gwadar is projected for completion by 2030.

  this um railroad is going to be done by 2030