Quantitative Baseline
- Display score: 3/5
- Continuous score: 47.6
- Confidence: VERIFIED
- Data year: 2023
- Sources: FAO Food Balance Sheets, FAO Food Balance Sheets (derived), FAOSTAT Fertilizers by Nutrient, WRI Aqueduct
| Metric | Tier | Raw | Normalized | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caloric self-sufficiency | DOMINANT | 0.79 | 45.7 | FAO Food Balance Sheets (derived) | 2023 |
| Cereal import dependency | PRIMARY | 0.32 | 68.1 | FAO Food Balance Sheets | 2023 |
| Water stress | PRIMARY | 4.65 | 6.9 | WRI Aqueduct | 2023 |
| Fertilizer import dependency | SUPPLEMENTARY | 0.00 | 100.0 | FAOSTAT Fertilizers by Nutrient | 2023 |
Manual Draft Prompt
Write the full food section. Cover caloric base, cereal dependence, fertilizer exposure, water constraints, and how quickly food stress would become politically binding.
Qualitative Overlay Notes
- TODO: capture any country-specific override to the scored baseline.
- TODO: note whether this factor is the decisive constraint, a lagging variable, or mostly background context.
- TODO: cross-link to the relevant chokepoint, bloc, or trade vulnerability that should anchor the prose.
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