Quantitative Baseline
- Display score: 3/5
- Continuous score: 46.0
- Confidence: VERIFIED
- Data year: 2023
- Sources: Our World in Data / UN World Population Prospects
| Metric | Tier | Raw | Normalized | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Working-age ratio | DOMINANT | 0.59 | 55.4 | Our World in Data / UN World Population Prospects | 2023 |
| Median age | PRIMARY | 49.0 | 44.2 | Our World in Data / UN World Population Prospects | 2023 |
| Old-age dependency ratio (2035) | PRIMARY | 50.1 | 19.9 | Our World in Data / UN World Population Prospects | 2023 |
Manual Draft Prompt
Write the full demographics section. Cover age structure, labor-force depth, migration, human-capital constraints, and how much this factor matters on the relevant time horizon.
Qualitative Overlay Notes
- TODO: capture any country-specific override to the scored baseline.
- TODO: note whether this factor is the decisive constraint, a lagging variable, or mostly background context.
- TODO: cross-link to the relevant chokepoint, bloc, or trade vulnerability that should anchor the prose.
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