Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia is one of the clearest asymmetric profiles in the matrix. Energy is elite, demographics are still favorable, and the state has the fiscal capacity to buy time and optionality. But food remains structurally weak, technology is improving from a low industrial base, and security is less comfortable than defense spending alone implies. The kingdom’s national resilience still rests on hydrocarbon strength carrying a wider system that has not yet become self-sustaining on its own.

Quantitative Snapshot

Region: Middle East | Composite: 3.13 / 5.0 | Data: 2026 | Scored floor: Food and Security

FactorDisplayContinuousConfidenceKey Metric
Food2/524.2VERIFIEDWater stress (4.981)
Energy5/5100.0PARTIALEnergy production/consumption ratio (2.782)
Technology3/548.7VERIFIEDEconomic complexity index (0.499)
Demographics5/594.5VERIFIEDWorking-age ratio (0.731)
Security2/535.5PARTIALMilitary expenditure (% GDP) (7.298)

Reading Path

  1. Executive Summary
  2. Energy
  3. Security
  4. Food
  5. Technology
  6. Demographics
  7. Framework Assessment
  8. Investment Implications

Source Baseline

  • Food: FAO Food Balance Sheets, FAO Food Balance Sheets (derived), FAOSTAT Fertilizers by Nutrient, WRI Aqueduct
  • Energy: World Bank WDI
  • Technology: Harvard Growth Lab, Our World in Data / World Bank, World Bank WDI
  • Demographics: Our World in Data / UN World Population Prospects
  • Security: Fragile States Index, Curated dataset, World Bank WDI