Quantitative Baseline
- Display score: 5/5
- Continuous score: 88.9
- Confidence: PARTIAL
- Data year: 2026
- Sources: Fragile States Index, Curated dataset, World Bank WDI
| Metric | Tier | Raw | Normalized | Source | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuclear weapons status | DOMINANT | confirmed arsenal | 100.0 | Curated dataset | 2026 |
| Fragile States Index | PRIMARY | 45.3 | 74.7 | Fragile States Index | 2023 |
| Military expenditure (% GDP) | PRIMARY | 3.42 | 58.9 | World Bank WDI | 2024 |
| Alliance membership | PRIMARY | 1.00 | 100.0 | Curated dataset | 2026 |
Manual Draft Prompt
Write the full security section. Cover nuclear status, alliance quality, force posture, geography, chokepoints, and which vulnerabilities are hard circuit-breakers.
Qualitative Overlay Notes
- TODO: capture any country-specific override to the scored baseline.
- TODO: note whether this factor is the decisive constraint, a lagging variable, or mostly background context.
- TODO: cross-link to the relevant chokepoint, bloc, or trade vulnerability that should anchor the prose.
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